This only works up to a certain volume. The world economy requires about 38 billion barrels of oil per year. If you processed 100% of all grain, sugar crop, tuber and oilseed on Earth into liquid fuel, leaving zero for food, you'd get about 6 billion barrels of oil-equivalent in liquid fuels. Since it has to compete with food, the actual number would be much lower. It's not even close to being able to sustain our civilization.

There is absolutely enough coal to make liquid fuel for the current civilization. But if oil/gas would not exist, then electrical cars would be on the road much earlier as burning coal to produce electricity is much more efficient then converting it into liquid fuel to burn in a car engine. As electrical cars produces roughly the same amount of CO2 when using electricity from coal as ICE car running on gasoline, the climate impact would be roughly the same.

Then in a hypothetical scenario of 20th century without oil/natural gas nuclear energy would be much more widespread at this point and CO2 impact would be lower.

Interestingly, in inflation-adjusted terms, oil is currently at a price level lower than the price level that was maintained from 2006-2014.

Which inflation measure are you referring to? Because of course petrolium products directly (gas, heating) and indirectly (cost of shipping) contribute to the effective price of most consumer baskets.

In other words, this might be true because the “inflation-rate“ was high, but it was high because the cost of oil went up.

> In other words, this might be true because the “inflation-rate“ was high, but it was high because the cost of oil went up.

No way. Housing and food have gone way up from Obama-era levels, but gas has yet to even come close to the cost at the time.

Edit: If anything, it's really the opposite. Cheap gas has been holding down inflation estimates.

Do you believe the price of housing and food is unrelated to the cost of oil?

For the time period in question, practically, yes, because the price of housing and food went up while the price of oil stayed flat.

This is true, but its not necessarily the price, its the doubling over night.

I think we are likely to see really low oil prices in the future, for a while. Electrification of transportation is proceeding so quickly in some regions that demand is falling for oil.

The global market a a good deal bigger, so it is much more money over all being demanded of the market buyers.

Workflow-wise, the important distinction for me has been that I can refine a Skill by telling Claude Code to use it for related tasks until it does exactly what I want, correctly, the first time. Having a solid, iteratively perfected Skill really cuts down on subsequent iteration.

I wonder how much the indications of Altman's duplicitous behavior through the deposition findings have been relevant here.

I doubt they care at all. It might even be a feature.

What would you consider such evidence to look like?

For one, these models should be able to understand the physical world via images, audio, and video. I do agree that current models are quite good at coding, but that's mainly because coding is entirely text-based and easily verifiable. It's not obvious that this capability will transfer to other domains that aren't text-based and aren't as easily verifiable.

I also had a good friend who was an absolute wizard with early stablediffusion. he could make the model do things that were supposedly impossible at the time. His prompts were works of art. Now any of the commercial image models go far beyond what he could do. It's interesting to think about how there was this ephemeral art form of manipulating image models that existed for about a year.

The same could be said of prompt engineering. Gone are the days of telling the model that it is an expert software engineer with a PhD in the most relevant subtopic. These days the common wisdom is to just clearly articulate what you want it to do. Huge amounts of energy put into prompt engineering are now completely swept away by incremental model advances.

A post arguing that agent orchestration is not the future of agentic coding.

I have similar usage habits. Not only has nothing like this ever happened for me, but I don’t think it has ever deleted anything that I didn’t want to be deleted, ever. Files only get deleted if I ask for a “cleanup” or something similar.

It has deleted a config directory of a system program I was having it troubleshoot, which was definitely not required, requested or helpful. The deleted files were in my home directory and not the "sandbox" directory I was running it from.

I knew the risks and accepted them, but it is more than capable of doing system actions you can regret.

Anybody talking about AI safety not being an issue, and how people will be able to use it responsibily, should study comments such as these in this thread. Even if one knows better than to do that, people on your team or important public facility will go about using AI like this...

Submitter takes an evocative element from the background of an old AI generated image and 3D prints it.

I used it to cure my 25-year-running chronic pain condition, I would call that a benefit.