I find when you give harsh feedback to claude it becomes "neurotic" and worthless, if "wtf" enters the chat, then you know it's time to restart or DIY.
Not really. Most of the times it actually finally picks up on what I was telling it to do. Sometimes it takes a few tries, like 2-3 wtfs. I don’t think I’ve ever given it more than 3 consecutive wtfs, and that would be a lot
It’s about a once a week or less event. A bit annoying sometimes, but not a deal breaker
It is an issue because bitcoin is highly unpredictable.
These tools are good at predicting timeseries that are in fact quite predictable. Like insurances will use this to estimate the number of people who will die from cancer in the next year, the year after that, and so on up to 50 years in the future. The model will extrapolate the progresses made in cancer treatment from the current trend, etc. It is a prediction, cause it's still possible that a breakthrough comes in and suddenly people don't die from a certain form of cancer, but generally it should be roughly correct.
Bitcoin prices are a lot more chaotic, influenced by a ton of unrelated events that shape its path a certain way. There is absolutely no certainty that studying the shape of its past evolution will help in any way understand its future evolution.
Of course here I mean by studying its price alone. If you add more information, like who's behind each trend and why, you have a much better sense of what could happen next.
Amazing explanation! Thank you so much for taking the time to put it together. It makes a lot of sense. I’m not the one who asked the question, but I was impressed by such eloquent and clearly explained answer
BeOS was such an amazing experience back in the day. It really felt magical. Too bad it got shutdown. I wonder what the evolution of it would be like today
My first memory of BeOS was that it could play media independently. You could play a video in one window, and an MP3 or another video in another, and they'd both play audio at the same time.
I don't know exactly why, but child me thought that was so interesting, since every other OS at the time seemed unable to.
I love Haiku but I feel it's quite different than where BeOS would be today had BeOS continued to exist. In that alternative world there might have been considerably more influence from BeOS going into the rest of the industry much sooner, and that effect could have snowballed.
If I recall directly, Apple was between buying BeOS and NeXT. Would be interesting what would have happened if they went the Be route instead of the Unix route. (But given that MacOS and BeOS were both fringe at the time, perhaps they would just have gone bankrupt…)
Considering that Steve Jobs came with NeXT, the general consensus has been that their recovery would not have been nearly as significant.
The real what-if for me is pondering what might have been had HP and other vendors not caved to the Wintel cartel in abandoning their plans to include BeOS as a preinstalled OEM option. Microsoft was sued by Be in civil court and Be won their case, but it was too little too late.
Jobs worked on NeXT and Jean-Louis Gassée was working on Be. Gassée had brought the world the Macintosh Portable and the IIfx, and he started the Newton project which had the effect of keep ARM alive.
When Gassée left Apple, he took many of Apple's best with him. If we want to know what Apple would have looked like under Gassée, I think it's easier to look at how many products he killed. Much of Apple's leadership was trying to force budget computers like the PC industry was building. Gassée would have none of it. He was focused on exceptionally good hardware married to exceptionally good software, knew the handheld devices would be vital in the future, but he didn't like boring things. I imagine that Apple built around Be would have delivered many of the same things, but wouldn't have become just plain brushed aluminum everywhere.
The curious part would have been the OS. BeOS and NeXT are wildly different.
I think at the time everybody agree that BeOS would need a whole lot more work put into it compared to NeXT. That said it still took a huge amount of work to evolve NeXT to OSX.
So I can well imagine Apple fucking this up and getting aquired.
For me it felt like it was going to be my next Amiga, in kind of experience, something that GNU/Linux never did it to me, where CLI reigns and multimedia was always looked down upon, Windows and Mac OS weren't quite there as well.
LLMs shine through emergent behaviour. Finding an LLM that does Rails doesn't know poetry is like finding a Rails human developer who doesn't have a hobby e.g. basketball. So what if they play basketball? They can code too!
Then it might need a new type of architecture to work. I’m not attached to LLMs. If a new model comes out that can do only the things I want it do it, then great
All the companies I've worked at implicitly assume that you're supposed to use your working hours for more than just coding, including learning what you need for the task at hand, although if you're looking at very beginner material that might raise some suspicion.
In the case I mentioned above, the company wanted me to build a search engine before elastic search existed, and before there was full-text search in popular dbs like Postgres or MySQL. The CTO/founder gave me his credit card and told me to buy whatever books I needed. I bought about 5 different relevant books. Work days were about 10-12hrs, they still wanted me to read/research on my own time
In 35 years in the industry, reading and studying during work hours were always supported. Frankly, most places would let us play video games during work hours as long as we met our deadlines.
I've had mandated gaming on Friday after lunch. But this was in the gaming industry so it's "market research"!
We also often played board games. My favourite was playing secret Hitler with my team that one time. That was fun! (I managed to become "untouchable" while also being Hitler. That's a memorable moment!)
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