Because I remember to take mine maybe 25% of the time

Yeah they need to stay in the car. It’s a hard habit to break because we have lived our entire lives bringing the groceries in and unloading.

We actually just get paper bags and reuse them for our recycling items. The paper bag goes into the recycling bin with the rest of the paper.

I actually don’t care if recycling takes more energy. We should save plastics for where they can be best used, and that’s not a one-shot trip to the landfill

> It’s a hard habit to break because we have lived our entire lives bringing the groceries in and unloading.

So... how are you bringing in the groceries? Making 10 trips stacking things in your hands?

By one (seemingly pretty reasonable) measure Texas has the 4th-best state education system!

https://www.stevesailer.net/p/naep-test-scores-mississippi-m...

Oh! I wonder if my field (history) is particularly bad or my social network is just particularly disgruntled.

> punitive capital gains taxation

A strange turn of phrase. What is the crime in view that's supposed to be punished?

Being rich. "Anti-oligarchy initiatives" as he puts it. Sounds a tad socialist.

The openai blog post itself is here: https://openai.com/index/apple-is-getting-this-wrong/

A car saves you time walking/biking, a robot saves chore time. Depending on depreciation, it's feasible that you could go do minimum-wage level work on Doordash using the chore time you save from the robot and still come out ahead. E.g. 5 hours/week at $20/hour = $5200/yr

> A car saves you time walking/biking, a robot saves chore time

Mileage varies. My impression is that on net, many people borrow money for the vehicle and end up adjusting their lives to depend on it, so much so that in their head they think they're saving time, but if they'd put that money into their home budget and moved closer to where things are, they'd get more exercise, be more socially healthy, and also waste less time and money driving. In aggregate, this makes everything worse and perpetuates the cycle. I sure as hell wouldn't move somewhere I had to drive to and from if I didn't already have the car, and I sure as hell wouldn't buy a car to get to a job unless the nature of my work required it. Not again.

Yes, but why do we think the likelihood of any of that happening is great enough to warrant all this effort and cost

Because people who predicted the AI capabilities we've seen get developed over the past decade also predicted that dangerous AI systems capable of these things would follow soon after.

It's not a settled debate, even among experts, and perhaps in retrospect we'll realize AI safety was unnecessary or based on fundamental confusions. But if the median ergonomics researcher gave a 5% chance that a new chair will be so comfortable that it drives humanity extinct (https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-024-00147-z), I would definitely want the government to start measuring and regulating chair comfort, even if that was costly and even if that meant I couldn't buy a comfy new chair I wanted.

Experts as in AI-2027, Jenson “I think we’ve achieved AGI in March 2026” Huang, or that AI Researcher(tm) calling to pre-emptively bomb Microsoft data centers in summer 2022?

If you're right, that's great news for you, as you can make tons of money buying Spacex puts

If the market is detached from reality then you very much cannot. It's like you weren't even listening.

Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.

- John Maynard Keynes

This quote refers to shorting; it's not applicable to every bear position anyone ever attempts to take. You won't go insolvent buying puts.

You won’t go insolvent but you’ll consistently lose money every time the stock doesn’t go down.

Yep, and if you buy stocks you'll consistently lose money when the stock doesn't go up.

Only in opportunity cost, if you buy puts you actually lose dollars.

What a great quote man. First time I read something like this. And thanks for crediting the author, now I can go learn more about him.

Another great, if not so relevant quote from JMK:

> My only regret in life, is that I did not drink more champagne

Not if people continue to have the 100x premium on Musk. Puts only make sense if the market returns to rationality.

Wage growth is a little down this month, may ease pressure on inflation.

Who is behind it then?

So if you agree that administrators in public ed are doing a poor job managing the resources allocated to them, do you support school choice efforts that will allow more competition from charter/private schools that have incentives to spend more wisely?

Why would private schools be incentivized to spend more wisely? Why would paying a CEO obscene amounts of money to lobby for public funds be better than fixing public schools?

Because wise spending results in making more money.