The whole fundamental concept of innovation is that there is no plan. If there's a clear path to get to where you want to go, then you don't need to innovate. Innovation is the act of exploring the unknown regions of the problem search space. No, there's no guarantee they picked an optimal strategy. If such a guarantee were possible, they wouldn't need to be trying and failing in the first place.
What there is clear evidence of, is you generally reach your goal faster if you're more risk tolerant. And that's very well understood by now. Various r&d folk from NASA have also said that they wish they could go harder and faster. But because they're micromanaged by congress, every failure is very expensive politically.
What there is clear evidence of, is you generally reach your goal faster if you're more risk tolerant. And that's very well understood by now. Various r&d folk from NASA have also said that they wish they could go harder and faster. But because they're micromanaged by congress, every failure is very expensive politically.