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I think it's a good analogy; very reasonable people come to different conclusions on this problem IRL too.

I prefer older houses (at least pre-80s). They have problems that are very predictable and minor. If they had major problems, they would show them quite clearly in 2020.

My friends prefer newer properties, but this is an act of faith, that the builders today have built something that won't have severe structural/electrical/plumbing problems in 20 years.

Of course, if you only plan on living some place for 3-5 years, none of this matters; you want to live where you're comfortable.



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