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> I'm skeptical because we are building black boxes.

An article came up a couple days ago that points to some interpretable features of the so-called black boxes you refer to. It's not that they are black boxes, it's that our torches are not yet bright enough.

https://vaclavkosar.com/ml/googles-pathways-language-model-a...

> Most of us aren't moving goal posts, but are very much skeptic at the things we are being oversold on.

I think a shift in perspective is warranted here. It's becoming increasingly clear that we may have vastly overestimated our own intelligence. Human exceptionalism is crumbling before us as we see how limited the tools are that pull off such incredible stunts. Judging based on other neuroscience and psychology research coming out, it really does seem like we are no more than statistical inference machines with specialized hardware that allow us to pack a lot of processing power into a small, energy-efficient system. We need to figure out next better learning algorithms, which probably depend quite heavily on the particular physical architecture.



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