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I asked it about the number fatalities in the tornadoes in the US in December 2021 and it gave me a correct answer.

> In December 2021, a particularly devastating outbreak of tornadoes occurred in the central United States, especially impacting Kentucky. As of my last update in January 2022, the death toll from this outbreak was over 80 people, with the majority of those deaths occurring in Kentucky.

https://chat.openai.com/share/2315803e-96d5-4980-b31c-5b9377...



I think it depends on world region. When I asked the same "when is your cutoff-date", I get "September 2021" as a reply. They probably choose to test the US market first.


Original poster here. I’m in Ireland.


If it has the data to know that the answer is greater than 80, why not be more exact?


Because it was trained on news sources that say "Over 80 fatalities in tornado outbreak"?

I can't say I'm sure, you'd have to know the training data involved, but it is quite common for mass casualty events to have "more than" or "at least" in their subjects along with multiple articles where the count increases over time. Remember and LLM is not wikipedia. If it has confidence of a more exact answer it will most likely give you that, but it's not guaranteed.


Source?


NOAA numbers at https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/torn/STATIJ21.txt which I've filtered to the relevant outbreak:

  #    DATE TIME-CST   COUNTIES  STATE DEATHS   A B C D  WATCH EF LOCATION
  --   ---- --------  ---------  ----- ------   -------  ----- -- --------
  08 DEC 10   1905    CRAIGHEAD     AR      1   1 - - -  WT552  4 01P
                    MISSISSIPPI     AR      1   1 - - -  WT552  4 01P
                       PEMISCOT     MO      2   2 - - -  WT552  4 01H 01V
                           LAKE     TN      3   3 - - -  WT552  4 03P
                          OBION     TN      1   1 - - -  WT552  4 01V
  09 DEC 10   1935   ST CHARLES     MO      1   1 - - -  WT553  3 01H
  10 DEC 10   2030      MADISON     IL      6   6 - - -  WT553  3 06P
  11 DEC 10   2050       GRAVES     KY     24  24 - - -  WT552  4 09M 09P
                                                                  03H 03U
                        HOPKINS     KY     15  15 - - -  WT552  4 12H 02U
                                                                  01M
                     MUHLENBERG     KY     11  11 - - -  WT554  4 07H 03M
                                                                  01P
                       CALDWELL     KY      4   4 - - -  WT552  4 02H 02M
                       MARSHALL     KY      1   1 - - -  WT552  4 01H
                         FULTON     KY      1   1 - - -  WT552  4 01M
                           LYON     KY      1   1 - - -  WT552  4 01H
  12 DEC 11   0110       WARREN     KY     16  16 - - -  WT554  3 13P 03U
  13 DEC 11   0320       TAYLOR     KY      1   1 - - -  WT561  3 01M
Total: 89

See the link for column definitions.




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