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I think a more likely outcome is Iran comes out the other end of this on Monday morning with 5000 dead.


Agreed. Apparently at least 2000 are already dead, after the IRGC opened fire on protesters in multiple cities.

https://www.iranintl.com/en/202601103903


FWIW I was told after I posted that iranintl.com isn't necessarily a trustworthy source of news, and that Hrana ( https://www.en-hrana.org ) is a better source. The reported numbers are far lower there.


> a more likely outcome is Iran comes out the other end of this on Monday morning with 5000 dead

Agree. But what would you wager on that today versus a year ago?




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